Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.050349e-03 1.196826e-03 0.001345 0.001505 0.001674 0.001845 0.002031
2025-06-08 8.206717e-04 1.028783e-03 0.001247 0.001491 0.001754 0.002027 0.002331
2025-06-15 6.919641e-04 9.496407e-04 0.001229 0.001550 0.001903 0.002275 0.002695
2025-06-22 5.325242e-04 8.181987e-04 0.001141 0.001522 0.001949 0.002408 0.002932
2025-06-29 4.252762e-04 7.337199e-04 0.001096 0.001534 0.002035 0.002580 0.003208
2025-07-06 3.836696e-04 7.228679e-04 0.001133 0.001636 0.002219 0.002859 0.003600
2025-07-13 2.880235e-04 6.310903e-04 0.001065 0.001611 0.002255 0.002968 0.003803
2025-07-20 1.957865e-04 5.288248e-04 0.000975 0.001554 0.002247 0.003026 0.003945
2025-07-27 1.566274e-04 4.959420e-04 0.000969 0.001594 0.002352 0.003208 0.004224
2025-08-03 1.069209e-04 4.360193e-04 0.000922 0.001581 0.002390 0.003313 0.004413
2025-08-10 5.093513e-05 3.452380e-04 0.000825 0.001499 0.002342 0.003314 0.004483
2025-08-17 2.137811e-05 2.877347e-04 0.000768 0.001464 0.002348 0.003376 0.004619
2025-08-24 5.056924e-08 2.067360e-04 0.000678 0.001399 0.002337 0.003443 0.004792
2025-08-31 NaN 1.550644e-04 0.000626 0.001382 0.002386 0.003582 0.005051
2025-09-07 NaN 1.352928e-04 0.000626 0.001437 0.002525 0.003831 0.005440
2025-09-14 NaN 9.109648e-05 0.000570 0.001408 0.002557 0.003949 0.005678
2025-09-21 NaN 6.565507e-05 0.000543 0.001419 0.002639 0.004128 0.005985
2025-09-28 NaN 6.531188e-05 0.000574 0.001517 0.002834 0.004445 0.006454
2025-10-05 NaN 3.781850e-05 0.000527 0.001492 0.002867 0.004562 0.006689
2025-10-12 NaN 1.327673e-05 0.000463 0.001436 0.002855 0.004623 0.006853
2025-10-19 NaN 7.586620e-06 0.000459 0.001476 0.002970 0.004838 0.007200
2025-10-26 NaN 7.261414e-07 0.000425 0.001463 0.003012 0.004963 0.007440
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000356 0.001383 0.002960 0.004968 0.007534